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Stocks and Treasury yields decline amid mixed earnings, economic data

Traders work on the floor of the NYSE in New York
July 02, 2024

By Lawrence Delevingne

(Reuters) - Shares around the world fell and U.S. Treasury yields retreatedon Thursday as investors digested mixed U.S. economic and corporate signals.

The U.S. economy grew faster than expected in the third quarter, again defying dire warnings of a recession, buoyed by robust consumer spending amid a resilient labor market. But business investment softened as outlays on equipment declined and the boost from the construction of factories faded.

Stocks and Treasury yields decline amid mixed earnings, economic data
German share price index DAX graph is pictured at the stock exchange in Frankfurt

Pushing down Treasury yields was the release of weaker-than-expected U.S. inflation and disposable income data supported market sentiment that interest rates are at, or near, their peak. The benchmark 10-year yield last stood at 4.849%, down 10.4 basis points on the day, a pullback from 5.021%, the highest level since 2007 hit earlier in the week. [US/]

Quincy Krosby, chief global strategist at LPL Financial in Charlotte, said U.S. economic growth has prompted market concerns that the Fed may need to increase interest rates again before the end of the year to quell inflation.

"The Fed's job isn't done and it does not appear that higher interest rates are doing the job for them," Krosby said in an email.

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Stocks and Treasury yields decline amid mixed earnings, economic data
FILE PHOTO: A woman walks past a man examining an electronic board showing Japan's Nikkei average and stock quotations in Tokyo

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.26%, to 32,950, the S&P 500 lost 0.63%, to 4,160 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 1.14%, to 12,674.

Meta Platforms fell about 3% on a weaker outlook, while megacaps Tesla and Microsoft fell 2% and 3% respectively, dragged by high interest rates.

Those declines came after Alphabet shares logged their worst session since March 2020, dropping 9.5%, as investors were disappointed with growth stalling in its cloud division. Amazon.com reports its results after the closing bell Thursday.

In Europe, the European Central Bank broke the longest streak of interest rate hikes in its 25-year history on Thursday, leaving its main rate at a record high of 4.0%, and saying the latest data continued to point to inflation slowly coming down to its 2% target.

The euro was little changed on the day, while Europe's broad STOXX index was down about 0.5%, near a seven-month low hit earlier in the week.

European banks were the big earnings story on Wednesday, with Standard Chartered down 12.4% after the group announced its third-quarter profit unexpectedly plunged by a third. Shares in BNP Paribas also fell, down 2.6% after results. [.EU]

MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe shed 0.75%.

Kiran Ganesh, global head of investment communications at UBS Wealth Management, said there were three main things pushing stocks lower.

"High yields are reflecting concerns that rates will have to stay high for longer, and that won't be good for the economy longer term; high yields are also competing for equity market investment; and the start of the earnings season has been a mixed bag, but generally on the negative side," Ganesh said.

In currency markets, the dollar index hit a two-week high of 106.6, driven by the higher yields, and the yen weakened past 150 per dollar, a level that has put traders on guard for intervention to support the Japanese currency.

Oil prices slipped after a rise in U.S. crude stockpiles and due to the stronger dollar, though the war in the Middle East loomed large in traders' minds.

U.S. crude fell 2.69% to $83.09 per barrel and Brent was at $87.77, down 2.62% on the day. [O/R]

Spot gold added 0.3% to $1,985.78 an ounce, near a five-month high. [GOL/]

(Reporting by Lawrence Delevingne in Boston, Xie Yu in Hong Kong and Alun John in London; Editing by Marguerita Choy, David Holmes and Giles Elgood)

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