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Elon Musk may be on the brink of achieving the impossible: Salvaging his $44 billion investment in X

Elon Musk may be on the brink of achieving the impossible: Salvaging his $44 billion investment in X
February 20, 2025

New York (CNN) โ€” In October 2022, Elon Musk paid $44 billion to buy Twitter โ€” almost certainly an overpayment โ€” and he promptly made significant changes that plunged the company into chaos and sent its ad business and valuation into a tailspin. Two and a half years later, Musk appears close to pulling off a minor miracle: The company, now called X, may once again be worth about what he paid for it.

Bloomberg on Wednesday reported that X is in talks to raise money that would value the company at $44 billion. The anonymous sources Bloomberg cited acknowledged that the ongoing talks could break down, and itโ€™s not clear whether X will actually fetch that valuation.

But the report coincides with a sudden turn in fortunes for X. Big advertisers, who had largely abandoned X after hate speech surged on the platform and ads were seen running alongside pro-Nazi content, have begun to return. (X made several pro-Nazi accounts ineligible for ads following advertiser departures.) Amazon and Apple are both reportedly reinvesting in X campaigns again, a remarkable endorsement from two brands with mass appeal.

The brandโ€™s stabilization helped a group of bondholders, who had been deep underwater in their investments, sell billions of dollars in their X debt holdings at 97 cents on the dollar earlier this month โ€” albeit with exceedingly high interest rates โ€” according to several recent reports.

Also helping Xโ€™s rebound: It reportedly holds a stake in xAI, Muskโ€™s AI company, which itself is seeking a $75 billion valuation in a latest funding round, according to Bloomberg.

But the biggest factor in Xโ€™s stunning bounce-back is almost certainly Musk himself.

X did not respond to a request for comment on the reported fundraising efforts, or the role that Muskโ€™s White House involvement could play in the platformโ€™s heightened valuation.

X is as relevant as ever in the Trump era

Muskโ€™s elevation to a special government employee under President Donald Trump has empowered the worldโ€™s richest person with large sway over the operations of the federal government, which he has rapidly sought to reshape.

Investors betting on X are probably making a gamble on its leader, not its business โ€” similar to how Trumpโ€™s financially struggling social media company, Trump Media & Technology Group (parent company of Truth Social), has a market value of more than $6 billion, even though its revenue for all of 2024 was just $3.6 million.

Last year, Musk turned X into a pro-Trump machine, using the platform to boost the presidentโ€™s campaign. In posts to his 200 million followers, he pushed racist conspiracy theories about the Biden administrationโ€™s immigration policies and obsessed over the โ€œwoke mind virus,โ€ a term used by some conservatives to describe progressive causes.

And now, with Trump back in office and Musk working in the executive branch, X has once again become the most important social media platform for following and interacting with the Trump administration. Musk has also used X to broadcast some of his changes with his Department of Government Efficiency.

That has suddenly made X essential for keeping up with news and of-the-minute conversation in a way it hasnโ€™t been for quite some time โ€” overshadowed by TikTok and upstart Twitter lookalike platforms.

โ€œThe best thing that ever happened to Musk was betting on the Trump White House,โ€ said Wedbush analyst Dan Ives, who added that he estimates Trumpโ€™s reelection doubled Xโ€™s valuation.

From (near) zero to hero

Xโ€™s turnaround is stunning considering Fidelity, whose Blue Chip fund holds a stake in X, valued the company in October 2024 at just 20% of the $44 billion that Musk paid for it.

By December, just three months ago, X had recovered somewhat but was still worth only around 30% of what Musk paid.

In the months following Muskโ€™s Twitter purchase, he made the company virtually unrecognizable from its former self. Musk laid off roughly 80% of the companyโ€™s staff, reversed a previous ban on then-former President Trump, reinstated the suspended accounts of White supremacists and conspiracy theorists, reshaped the โ€œblue checkโ€ verification system in a way that made it harder to identify people on the platform, removed specific protections for transgender people from Twitterโ€™s hateful conduct policy, elevated the โ€œCommunity Notesโ€ user-generated factcheck system to largely replace the companyโ€™s own moderation efforts, and publicly bullied advertisers that took their business elsewhere.

And Musk himself hasnโ€™t been shy about tormenting Xโ€™s potential sources of revenue for leaving. In one extraordinary moment in the November 2023 DealBook Summit, Musk called out Disney CEO Bob Iger and told advertisers that left X to โ€œgo f**k yourself.โ€ A week later, Musk said Iger should be fired for pulling Disney ads from X.

After the Center for Countering Digital Hate published reports critical of the platformโ€™s response to hateful content, X sued the group, accusing it of deliberately trying to drive away Xโ€™s advertisers. CCDH โ€” in addition to other researchers and online safety groups โ€” had released a series of reports criticizing the companyโ€™s handling of hate speech, including providing evidence, for example, that anti-LGBTQ+ rhetoric had jumped under Muskโ€™s leadership. It also said the platform was monetizing some previously banned but then reinstated accounts that were spreading hateful content.

A federal judge ultimately tossed the lawsuit, arguing that the case โ€” brought by X and its leader who has called himself a โ€œfree speech absolutistโ€ โ€” was aimed at โ€œpunishingโ€ the non-profit group โ€œfor their speech.โ€

Musk said when he bought Twitter that it was a financially troubled company that needed to allow more โ€œfree speechโ€ and to become a kind of โ€œeverything appโ€ โ€” similar to Weibo and WeChat โ€” a centralized platform for payments, e-commerce, entertainment, news and communication.

Although X has made some progress, including announcing a partnership with Visa last month to offer digital wallets, itโ€™s nowhere close to realizing that dream โ€” in large part because Muskโ€™s controversial moves both within and outside of the company have repeatedly caused trust issues for users and advertisers. And even some of Xโ€™s longtime features, like the audio conversations tool Spaces, continue to suffer major glitches in high-profile moments.

Still, Muskโ€™s dramatic cost cutting at X may have improved the companyโ€™s margins and improved its profitability, potentially bolstering its value, said D.A. Davidsonโ€™s head of technology research Gil Luria. But, Luria added, itโ€™s hard to tell since Musk took the company private and no longer must publish its financial results.

The prominent advertisers that have made their way back to X in recent weeks may be doing so as part of a broader effort by tech leaders to gain favor with Trump and his allies. But itโ€™s unclear whether theyโ€™ll stick around through any future risks to their reputations. Apple and Amazon did not immediately respond to CNNโ€™s requests for comment.

And although X may be having a moment, in the long run, it faces far more competition from the rival platforms that have cropped up since Musk bought the bird app.

Still, itโ€™s stunning that Musk was able to salvage what had become (and in many ways still is) a very expensive platform where extremism has flourished.

The-CNN-Wire
โ„ข & ยฉ 2025 Cable News Network, Inc., a Warner Bros. Discovery Company. All rights reserved.

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