(CNN) โ FedEx said a weaker industrial economy produced a โchallengingโ quarter that caused it to trim its outlook for later this year, a sign of possible cooling in the wider economy.
The company, sometimes seen as a bellwether for the US and global economies by investors, focused most of its concerns on industrial customers who ship goods to other businesses, not on consumers who make up the overwhelming majority of US economic activity. In fact CEO Rajesh Subramaniam said the company is seeing e-commerce shipments โstart to grow again.โ
But the industrial customers are the source of worry for FedEx, and for investors, who sent shares of FedEx (FDX) down 14% on Friday.
โThe soft industrial economy is clearly weighing on the (business-to-business) volumes, and it was definitely much weaker than we expected and we have to make adjustments accordingly,โ Subramaniam told investors in a call Thursday following its late-day report. โAnd as you know, shipments linked to industrial production are our highest-yielding and the most profitable.โ
The company said that led to โreduced demand for priority services (and) increased demand for deferred services.โ
FedEx is a company created and built on the need of people to get packages moved fast โ itโs in the name, after all. When people stop doing that in the interest of saving money, itโs bad news for the company.
FedEx experienced โpretty dramatic changesโ in the shift in the mix from priority to deferred, according to CFO John Dietrich in the investors call, even though he said the total volumes โwere, for the most part, pretty strong.โ
The weaker-than-expected results came the day after the Federal Reserve made a bigger-than-expected interest rate cut of half a percentage point in an effort to spur US economic activity. Subramaniam cited that cut in his remarks to analysts.
โThe magnitude of the Fed rate cuts yesterday signals the weakness of the current environment,โ he said. โNow, weโre not assuming a significant comeback on the industrial environment in the rest of this (calendar year).โ
Chair Jerome Powell on Wednesday, however, said the Fed was cutting interest rates to support the labor market. โThe labor market is in solid condition, and our intention with our policy move today is to keep it there,โ Powell said. โYou can say that about the whole economy: The US economy is in good shape. Itโs growing at a solid pace, inflation is coming down. The labor market is at a strong pace. We want to keep it there. Thatโs what weโre doing.โ
Subramaniam said FedEx is โcautiously optimisticโ that industrial production will moderately improve in early 2025, โbut we are dialing in pretty low growth expectations at this point because of the environment we are seeing.โ
Among other issues FedEx dealt with were increased costs, particularly for wages.
Shares of FedEx had been up 21% year-to-date through Thursdayโs close before Fridayโs decline.
The-CNN-Wire
โข & ยฉ 2024 Cable News Network, Inc., a Warner Bros. Discovery Company. All rights reserved.