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Today: March 30, 2025

Fed's Jefferson says Fed can take time on next interest rate decision

Kansas City Fed's annual economic symposium in Jackson Hole
February 19, 2025
Michael S. Derby - Reuters

By Michael S. Derby

(Reuters) - Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Philip Jefferson said on Wednesday the U.S. central bank has time to weigh its next monetary policy move, citing a robust economy and still above target inflation.

โ€œThe performance of the U.S. economy has been quite strong overall,โ€ Jefferson said in the text of a speech to be delivered at a gathering at Vassar College. He said the job market is in โ€œa solid positionโ€ while noting inflation has come down quite a bit while remaining elevated relative to the central bankโ€™s 2% target.

Jefferson said โ€œbumpyโ€ progress back to the target was likely following a percentage pointโ€™s worth of rate cuts last year. โ€œI believe that, with a strong economy and a solid labor market, we can take our time to assess the incoming data to make any further adjustments to our policy rate,โ€ Jefferson said.

The official said he viewed current monetary policy as โ€œrestrictiveโ€ with the federal funds target rate range, the Fedโ€™s chief lever to influence the economy, set between 4.25% and 4.5%.

Jefferson spoke after the Fed released the minutes from its late January Federal Open Market Committee meeting, where officials held rates steady. Policymakers have been hesitant to provide guidance on the rate outlook while inflation remains high and considerable uncertainty remains about President Donald Trumpโ€™s economic agenda.

Many private forecasters worry Trumpโ€™s policies will drive up inflation through tariffs and deportation of undocumented workers. Uncertainty itself is also seen as a brake on forward economic momentum.

Much of Jeffersonโ€™s speech was devoted to the state of household balance sheets.

โ€œGenerally, households appear to be in a good position: Asset holdings are high across the income distribution, driven by high house and equity prices, and debt levels are subdued,โ€ Jefferson said.

But he added some households โ€œappear to be stretchedโ€ with lower credit score households facing challenges, in part from smaller financial buffers. He added, โ€œcertain groups of households may have a hard time weathering unexpected costs or economic shocks.โ€

(Reporting by Michael S. Derby; Editing by David Gregorio)

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