New York (CNN) โ After a ridiculous spike over the past five weeks that had absolutely nothing to do with the companyโs actual business, former President Donald Trumpโs social media stock is suffering a sudden setback.
Truth Social owner Trump Media & Technology Groupโs share price plunged 22.3% on Wednesday. That marks Trump Mediaโs worst one-day loss since going public in March, narrowly exceeding a loss of 21.5% on April 1.
At Tuesdayโs close above $51, Trumpโs dominant stake in the company was valued at about $5.9 billion. By the end of trading on Wednesday, the value of Trumpโs shares tumbled to $4.6 billion. That means Trump lost $1.3 billion in net worth in a single day.
Itโs not clear exactly what caused the sharp reversal for Trump Media, whose share price has become a proxy for how traders think this election will turn out. Trump Media did not release any major news that would explain the nosedive.
Some traders blamed the steep selling on technical factors and a loss of momentum for what has become a meme stock.
Trump Mediaโs stock has been extraordinarily volatile all year. The stock does not need official corporate announcements to move dramatically higher or lower.
Until Wednesday, it had been moving in one direction: Straight up.
Between September 23 and Tuesdayโs closing bell, Trump Media had quadrupled in value. That breathtaking rally has been driven by bets on Wall Street that Trump will win the White House.
The enormous gains boosted Trump Mediaโs value to $10.3 billion as of Tuesdayโs close. That means it was briefly worth more than the implied value of X, the Elon Musk-owned social network formerly known as Twitter.
Thatโs despite the fact that X has about 70 million monthly active US users on iOS and Android as Truth Social, according to Similarweb data shared with CNN. Thatโs roughly 100 times Truth Socialโs 698,000 monthly active US users.
Even Threads, Metaโs relatively new X competitor, has about 20 times the user base of Truth Social, according to Similarweb.
โHead scratcherโ valuation
Trump Mediaโs fundamentals remain very modest for a company that is still valued at more than $8 billion.
For context, CBS owner Paramount Global, a company that Trump Media recently surpassed in market value, has brought in more than $14 billion in revenue so far this year.
But Trump Media has generated just $1.6 million of revenue this year.
โFundamentally the valuation is a head scratcher but we have seen other meme stock narratives like AMC and GameStop on similar paths the last few years,โ Dan Ives, senior equity analyst at Wedbush Securities, told CNN in an email. โTruth Social is a fraction of X and other social media platforms in terms of users but with an election a week away this stock has become a litmus test for some investors on the White House race.โ
Matthew Tuttle, CEO of Tuttle Capital Management, blamed Wednesdayโs selloff on Trump Mediaโs share price failing to break through key resistance to the upside.
โItโs the way the game is played on this stuff,โ Tuttle told CNN. โThe smarter traders know you make your money and get the hell out. And leave the not-smarter traders holding the bag.โ
Tuttle noted that one of the factors helping to propel Trump Media higher had been the fact that itโs very expensive to borrow shares to bet against it. He described โcompletely insaneโ financing costs to borrow shares.
โIt makes it virtually impossible to short this thing,โ Tuttle said.
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