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Today: January 22, 2025
Today: January 22, 2025
Howard Schneider

Howard Schneider

Staff Writer

Latest From Howard Schneider

Business|Economy|Finance|Political|US

After two years of smooth sailing, Fed ready to navigate rocky bond market, Trump uncertainty

After two years of progress on inflation and surprisingly persistent economic growth, the Federal Reserve next week meets with one eye on new Trump

After two years of smooth sailing, Fed ready to navigate rocky bond market, Trump uncertainty
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US economy in 'uncharted waters' as inflation falls with low unemployment -study

U.S. Federal Reserve officials are in “uncharted waters” with no clear historical guide as they set monetary policy in an environment with inflation falling but no increase as yet in the unemployment rate, Richmond Fed staff said in a new research note analyzing a central bank rate cycle they deemed “unlike any other.” “The current cycle is the first time over the entire postwar period the (Federal Open Market Committee) has made significant progress in lowering inflation without an associated increase in the unemployment rate,” Richmond Fed staffers including senior adviser Pierre-Daniel Sarte wrote in

US economy in 'uncharted waters' as inflation falls with low unemployment -study
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Fed's Powell: higher rates may be needed, will move 'carefully'

The Federal Reserve may need to raise interest rates further to cool still-too-high inflation, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said on Friday, promising to move with care at upcoming meetings as he noted both progress made on easing price pressures as well as risks from the surprising strength of the U.S. economy. While not as hawkish a message as he delivered this time a year ago at the annual Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium, Powell’s remarks still delivered a punch, with investors now seeing one more rate hike by year-end more

Fed's Powell: higher rates may be needed, will move 'carefully'
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Fed's Powell: higher rates may be needed, will move 'carefully'

The Federal Reserve may need to raise interest rates further to cool still-too-high inflation, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said on Friday, promising to move with care at upcoming meetings as he noted both progress made on easing price pressures as well as risks from the surprising strength of the U.S. economy. While not as hawkish a message as he delivered this time a year ago at the annual Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium, Powell’s remarks still delivered a punch, with investors now seeing one more rate hike by year-end more

Fed's Powell: higher rates may be needed, will move 'carefully'
Uncategorized

Trump, Biden policies shifted trade from China at a cost, study shows

– U.S. trade has shifted away from China due to policies enacted by the Biden and Trump administrations, but U.S. reliance on China-linked supply chains has not necessarily been reduced and consumers have faced higher costs, according to new research presented on Saturday at a Federal Reserve economic symposium. Despite deglobalization fears after the coronavirus pandemic and Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, overall trade “has held steady at just under 60% of world (gross domestic product)rather than gone into freefall,” Laura Alfaro, an economist at Harvard Business School, and Davin Chor, an associate professor

Trump, Biden policies shifted trade from China at a cost, study shows
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Post-pandemic, world facing gloomy stew of debt, trade wars and poor productivity

– Record levels of government debt, geopolitical tensions that threaten to split the global trading system, and the likely persistence of weak productivity gains may saddle the world with a slow-growth future that stunts development in some countries even before it starts. That sobering view of a post-pandemic global economy emerged from research organized by the Kansas City Federal Reserve and debated here this past weekend. It explored issues like the outlook for technological innovation, public debt, and the state of international trade at a time when the Russian invasion of Ukraine and

US

Fed's inflation puzzle still missing a piece or two

U.S.

Fed's inflation puzzle still missing a piece or two
Business|Economy|Finance

Bank of Korea chief watching Middle East tensions for FX, growth outlook reviews

South Korea's central bank chief on Friday said odds for any further policy action to stabilize the slumping Korean won now depend on how

Bank of Korea chief watching Middle East tensions for FX, growth outlook reviews
Business|Economy|Finance

Explainer-Charting the Fed's economic data flow

The Federal Reserve held its benchmark overnight interest rate steady at the Sept. 19-20 policy meeting.

Explainer-Charting the Fed's economic data flow
Business|Economy|Finance|US

Dips in core and "supercore" inflation could bolster a Fed hold

A measure of inflation closely watched by the Federal Reserve has now averaged near the central bank's 2% target for the last three months, another step

Dips in core and "supercore" inflation could bolster a Fed hold
Business|Economy|Finance|US

Fed chief Powell has warned of economic pain. In York, Pa., he heard all about it

After helping build a floor under the economy during the pandemic only to put a squeeze on it as inflation soared, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome

Fed chief Powell has warned of economic pain. In York, Pa., he heard all about it
Business|Economy|Finance|US

Fed's Bostic: Rising long bond yields not having excessive impact on economy

The steady rise in long-term U.S.

Fed's Bostic: Rising long bond yields not having excessive impact on economy
Business|Economy|Finance|US

Global economy's glide to 'soft landing' gets bumpy as bond yields jump

Rocketing U.S. government bond yields that have led to a global jump in borrowing costs are raising new risks for economic policymakers hoping to lower

Global economy's glide to 'soft landing' gets bumpy as bond yields jump
Economy|Finance|News|US

U.S. jobs data could be the Fed's cue to hike or hold

A new U.S. employment report on Friday will show whether the labor market continued to moderate through September in what could be an important waypoint for

U.S. jobs data could be the Fed's cue to hike or hold
Economy|Finance|MidEast|News|World

Middle East conflict adds new risks to global economic outlook

The outbreak of military conflict in the Middle East may leave central bankers battling new inflationary trends as well as deal a blow to economic

Middle East conflict adds new risks to global economic outlook
Economy|Finance|US

US wealth, income concentration resume upward climb in post-pandemic era

The richest Americans are emerging from the coronavirus pandemic with their share of wealth and income on the rise again despite some thought that the tight

US wealth, income concentration resume upward climb in post-pandemic era
News|US

Nodding to rising bond yields, Fed's Jefferson says can "proceed carefully"

The U.S.

Nodding to rising bond yields, Fed's Jefferson says can "proceed carefully"
Business|Economy|Finance|US

Spike in Treasury yields clouds Biden, Fed hopes for smooth return to normal

Even as the U.S. economy bounds along, rising interest rates on government bonds could threaten the plans of elected officials and central bankers who

Spike in Treasury yields clouds Biden, Fed hopes for smooth return to normal
News|US

Fed's Waller: Fed can "watch and see" if further hikes needed

U.S.

Fed's Waller: Fed can "watch and see" if further hikes needed
Business|Economy|Finance|News|US

Fed's 'golden path' to lower inflation may have some potholes

The "golden path" some Federal Reserve officials see leading to lower inflation without high unemployment may, like the pot of gold at the end of

Fed's 'golden path' to lower inflation may have some potholes
Economy|Finance|US

Uncertainty, growth risks put Fed on cautious footing last month, minutes show

Uncertainty around the path of the U.S. economy, including difficulties estimating the state of financial markets, potential oil price shocks, and the impact

Uncertainty, growth risks put Fed on cautious footing last month, minutes show
Business|Economy|Finance

Global central banks mark a possible plateau

The Bank of England's decision to hold its policy interest rate steady on Thursday puts the world's three major central banks in

Global central banks mark a possible plateau
Business|Economy|Finance|News|US

Fed rate hikes may be done as labor market cools further

Slowing U.S. job growth and cooling wage pressures may give Federal Reserve policymakers renewed confidence the U.S. economy is adjusting from the shock

Fed rate hikes may be done as labor market cools further
Business|Economy|News

Three job signals to console the Fed, and a yellow flag

The October jobs report likely was a relief to Federal Reserve officials who hope the U.S. economy can edge down softly from a period of high inflation and

Three job signals to console the Fed, and a yellow flag
Business|Economy|Finance|News|US

Productivity adds the anesthetic to Powell's pain-free disinflation

A recent surge in U.S. productivity has underscored Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's emerging narrative for how inflation may continue to decline even

Productivity adds the anesthetic to Powell's pain-free disinflation

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